Introduction
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 triggered one of the most severe security crises in Europe since World War II, with far-reaching geopolitical and socio-economic implications. In response, the EU demonstrated strategic resolve by granting candidate status to Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia. The long-stalled accession process for the Western Balkans also regained momentum, with accession negotiations beginning for Albania and North Macedonia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina attaining official candidate status. These historic decisions were framed by the EU in terms of geopolitical positioning and solidarity in the face of Russian aggression. They also coincided with a notable shift in public opinion in favour of enlargement.
This policy brief examines trends in EU public opinion on enlargement following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Specifically, it assesses the extent to which support for enlargement -particularly Ukraine’s candidacy – is associated with the perception of Russia’s invasion as a security threat. Finally, the brief provides policy recommendations to help maintain or strengthen public backing for future EU enlargement.
Author: Dr. Dmytro Panchuk, postdoctoral researcher and lecturer, Department of Public Governance and Management, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University
