REUNIR

REUNIR Strategic Foresight and Policy Design Workshop – Fanny Sauvignon

In our next video, Fanny Sauvignon (Researcher, Foreign Policy Unit, CEPS (Centre for European Policy Studies) explores a timely question:

๐–๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐š๐ญ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž, ๐ฐ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐„๐” ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฌ๐ก๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง ๐ง๐ž๐ข๐ ๐ก๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ก๐จ๐จ๐?

Key insight:
On the economic level, the impact of transatlantic divergence is often indirect. The United States is not a major trade partner for EU candidate countries, the EU is. This means that any disruptions in EUโ€“US trade relations, such as new tariffs or broader economic tensions could have spillover effects on EU investment and trade flows with candidate countries.

The real challenge:
Whether and how the EU can buffer or mitigate these effects to safeguard economic stability in its neighbourhood.

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